Building of the National Assembly of Serbia in Belgrade

Our view

We see this result differently from an ordinary election. For years Vučić balanced between Brussels, Moscow and Beijing, did not impose sanctions on Russia and did not join the anti-Russian front. For the West and for Washington such a leader in the Balkans was inconvenient, which explains why pressure around him had been growing for years.

This does not mean the people on the streets were “bought”: the protests had a real tragedy and real discontent behind them. But we believe a protest movement is easy to use, and that the outcome benefits those who would like a more obedient government in Belgrade. We have no direct evidence of organization from Washington and we do not invent it; this is our assessment of the balance of forces.

The method has been known for a long time: first pressure, then “civil society”, then an election in which the unwanted leader loses and the world declares it a victory for democracy. We saw such scenarios in Ukraine in 2014 and elsewhere, and it is known from open sources that the US and the EU fund “independent” organizations and media in regions they want to keep under control.

The main question for the coming weeks is not who won but where Serbia turns afterwards: toward the European Union and NATO, toward sanctions on Russia and away from its former balance. That will show whether this was an election or the replacement of an inconvenient leader.

This is an editorial opinion, not an established fact.

The mainstream assessment

The result is called historic: for the first time in more than a decade Vučić’s populist rule has lost an election, to a movement that grew out of street protests. Analysts note the record turnout and strong mobilization of young voters.

What happened

The Serbia election ended in a political earthquake: the student movement won the parliamentary vote and Aleksandar Vučić conceded defeat. What happened and why, in our view, it looks more like the removal of a leader inconvenient to the West than an ordinary change of power.

On October 25, 2026 Serbia held an early parliamentary election, called after two years of mass anti-government protests. Turnout was a record, nearly 70%. According to preliminary figures from the Republic Electoral Commission the Student List won 52.65% of the vote and the “Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia” list 39.2%; the monitoring group CRTA put it at 51.47% and 40.42%.

Projections give the Student List about 140 seats in the 250-seat parliament and Vučić’s Serbian Progressive Party about 103–105. Vučić, who resigned as president to lead the government, conceded defeat and said the students hold the majority.

Before the vote the EU and international monitors had raised concerns about the fairness of the campaign: detentions, government control over media and reports of surveillance. The figures are still preliminary.

Read also: .

Sources

Photo: Rudolph.A.furtado, CC0, Wikimedia Commons (National Assembly building, Belgrade).

Leave a Reply